Wednesday, July 30, 2008

Triple Bottom

A triple bottom pattern displays three distinct minor lows at approximately the same price level. The triple bottom is considered to be a variation of the head and shoulders bottom. Like that pattern, the triple bottom is a reversal pattern.

As illustrated below, the triple bottom pattern is composed of three sharp lows, all at about the same price level. Prices fall to a support level, rise, fall to that support level again, rise, and finally fall, returning to the support level for a third time before beginning an upward climb. In the classic triple bottom, the upward movement in the price marks the beginning of an uptrend.

How to trade this pattern?

Go long above the neckline (resistance level) when the price breaks from (its third bottom) below, the most likely price direction is now UP. Place your stop below its third bottom price!

Your target must be at least twice the distance from its third bottom break to the neckline.

Rounded Bottom

A Rounded Bottom is considered a bullish signal, indicating a possible reversal of the current downtrend to a new uptrend.

Rounded Bottoms are elongated and U-shaped, and are sometimes referred to as rounding turns, bowls or saucers. The pattern is confirmed when the price breaks out above its moving average.

Following are important characteristic to look for in a Rounded Bottom.

The price pattern forms a gradual bowl shape. There should be an obvious bottom to the bowl. Price can fluctuate or be linear; however, the overall curve should be smooth and regular, without obvious spikes. For example, a V-shaped turn would not be considered a rounded bottom.

Rounded Bottoms are long-term patterns. Martin J. Pring identifies that the pattern can occur over a period of about 3 weeks, but can also be observed over several years.

The duration of the pattern indicates the significance of the price movement. John J. Murphy writes that rounded bottoms "are usually spotted on weekly or monthly charts that span several years. The longer they last, the more significant they become."

Head and Shoulders

A Head and Shoulders Bottom is considered a bullish signal. It indicates a possible reversal of the current downtrend into a new uptrend.

The first point - the left shoulder - occurs as the price of the financial instrument in a falling market hits a new low and then rises in a minor recovery. The second point - the head happens when prices fall from the high of the left shoulder to an even lower level and then rise again. The third point - the right shoulder - occurs when prices fall again but don't hit the low of the head. Prices then rise again once they have hit the low of the right shoulder. The lows of the shoulders are definitely higher than that of the head and, in a classic formation, are often roughly equal to one another.

The neckline is a key element of this pattern. The neckline is formed by drawing a line connecting the two high price points of the formation. The first high point occurs at the end of the left shoulder and beginning of the downtrend to the head. The second marks the end of the head and the beginning of the downturn to the right shoulder. The neckline usually points down in a Head and Shoulders Bottom, but on rare occasions can slope up.

How to trade this pattern?

Go long when the currency price CLOSES above the neckline and put a stop-loss below the last bottom (right shoulder).

Use a risk reward ratio. Better to calculate your profit target (if you risk 50 points, your target should be at least 75 points).

Upside Breakout, Rectangle, Slim Jim

An Upside Breakout is considered a bullish signal, marking a breakout from a trading range to start a new uptrend.

An Upside Breakout occurs when the price of a financial instrument breaks out through the top of a trading range. This Technical Analysis indicates that prices will rise explosively over a period of days or weeks as an almost vertical uptrend appears.

The duration of the trading range for which the breakout occurred can provide an indication of the strength of the breakout. The longer the duration of the trading range the more significant the breakout.

The "narrowness" of the trading range can also be used to gauge the breakout. To determine the narrowness of the trading range compare the upper boundary with the lower boundary of the trading range. If the trading range has a small difference between the upper and lower boundary (making it narrow) then the breakout is considered stronger and more reliable.

Symmetrical Continuation Triangle


The triangle pattern, also called the "coil," appears in three varieties:

1. symmetrical, 2. ascending, and 3. descending.

Generally, a triangle pattern is considered to be a continuation or consolidation pattern. Sometimes, however, the formation marks a reversal of a trend.

Symmetrical triangles are generally considered neutral, ascending triangles are bullish, and descending triangles are bearish. From a time perspective, triangles are usually considered to be intermediate patterns. Usually, it takes longer than a month to form a triangle. Seldom will a triangle last longer than three months. If a triangle pattern does take longer than three months to complete, Murphy advises that the formation will take on major trend significance.

Converging trendlines of support and resistance gives the triangle pattern its distinctive shape. This occurs, Kahn explains, because "the trading action gets tighter and tighter until the market breaks out with great force." Buyers and sellers find themselves in a period where they are not sure where the market is headed. Their uncertainty is marked by their actions of buying and selling sooner, making the pattern look like an increasingly tight coil moving across the chart.

As the range between the peaks and troughs marking the progression of price narrows, the trendlines meet at the "apex," located at the right of the chart. The "base" of the triangle is the vertical line at the left of the chart which measures the vertical height of the pattern.

Flag and Pennant



Flag and pennant are considered as bullish signal, indicating that the current uptrend may continue.

A Pennant (Bullish) follows a steep, or nearly vertical rise in price, and consists of two converging trendlines that form a narrow, tapering flag shape. The Pennant shape generally appears as a horizontal shape, rather than one with a downtrend or uptrend.

Apart from its shape, the Pennant is similar in all respects to the Flag. The Pennant is also similar to the Symmetrical Triangle or Wedge continuation patterns however; the Pennant is typically shorter in duration and flies horizontally.

A Flag (Bullish) follows a steep, or nearly vertical rise in price, and consists of two parallel trendlines that form a rectangular flag shape. The Flag can be horizontal (as though the wind is blowing it), however it often has a slight downtrend. A bullish signal occurs when the price rebounds beyond the upper trendline of the Flag formation, and continues the original upward price movement. This is considered a pattern confirmation.

How to trade these patterns?

Always trade Flag and Pennants in the direction of the previous (main) trend. If the previous trend was up, wait for a break out to the upside and go long when the currency pair rises above the upper resistance trend line. Place your stop below the lower support trend line.

Diamond Bottom

The Diamond Bottom pattern occurs because prices create higher highs and lower lows in a broadening pattern. Then the trading range gradually narrows after the highs peak and the lows start trending upward. The Technical Analysis occurs when prices break upward out of the diamond formation.

The target price provides an important indication about..

Monday, July 21, 2008

Wise Words Part 2

  • I know where i’m getting out before i get in I believe, if I stay true to my basic trading strategy, I will eventually rebound
  • The key is consistency and disciplined
  • The most important rule in trading is ; play great defense, not great offense
  • I have the attitude that if I trade loses, I can handle it without any problem and com back to do the next trade
  • The elements of good trading are ; 1) cutting losses, 2) cutting losses, 3) cutting losses
  • I know when i have to cut losses, ride winners, keep bets small, follow the rules without question, know when to break the rules
  • I love to trade, and I love to win
  • If I don’t take a hard look at risk, it will take me
  • My sytem never trades counter to the market trend
  • I always follow my system
  • The maximum risk on each trade is limited to 1 percent of total equity
  • Good trading is peculiar because the balance between the convinsion to follow your ideas and the flexibility to recognize, when you have made a mistake is the best learned through extensive experience and mistakes
  • The market are always changing, and the successful trader needs to adapt to these changes
  • Anything is possible with persistence and hard work.

Types of Trading Order

There are three types of trading order which can help traders to take the position, such as :

Market Order

This is an order to buy or sell a given price at the current market price. This means that the trader will be buying at the “current” ask or selling at the “current” bid that is quoted. The market order can be used to enter or exit trades. When placing a market order, trader specifies the currency pair that he wants to buy or sell and the number of lots or contracts trader wants to trade.

Limit Order

This is an order to buy or sell a given price a pre specified quote or better, and can be used to enter or exit trades. It “limits” the price at which you are willing to trade at. When a Buy Limit order is placed, the trade cannot be executed at a price that is higher than the specified limit price. Therefore the buy limit is placed below the current market price. It can be used to obtain a better entry price when looking to go long, or used to close out or exit an existing short position at a profit.

When a Sell Limit order is placed, the trade cannot be executed at a price that is lower than the specified limit price. Therefore the sell limit is placed above the current market price.

Stop Order

This is also an order to buy or sell a given price a pre specified quote and can also be used to enter or exit trades. This is a very useful order, in that it is placed on the opposite side of the current market price than the limit order.

When a Buy Stop order is placed, the order cannot be placed at a specified price that is lower than the current market price. Therefore the buy stop is placed above the current market price. In this way it can be used to enter a new long position when the price of a given currency breaks above, “a price break-out”, a certain rate or it can be used to limit a loss in an existing short position. When a Sell Stop order is placed, the order cannot be placed at a specified price that is higher than the current market price. Therefore the sell stop is placed below the current market price.

This is why it is also referred to as a "Stop Loss" or “Protective Stop” order.

Cash Management

Market analysis is always combined with cash management which constitutes cash flow arrangement aspects, such as :

1. Trading Strategy

In principle, trading is an application of widely known portofolio theory, namely diversification of the funds invested in different stock indices which are considered to have a smaller risk. Diversification of transaction times, suh as combination of short term, medium term, and long term trading that will further diminish the risk.

2. Risk Management

By means of risk management, the risk of stock indices trading can be managed and also limited through :

Stop Loss

Limiting the risk at a certain level of stock indices

Locking

Taking a contradictory position against the original position (temporary), and than for liquidation of the locking position when it is considered safe

Average

It is used when the investor is convinced that the first open position risk and the subsequent one will be lower when the price rebounds and close to the original open position price. This technique is usually co,bined with stop loss or locking

Holding Position

This mechanism is used because investor enters in long term transaction, and it may ne combined with stop loss, locking, and average

Switch Position

The risk is reduced with the assumption that the initial position taken is apparently misdirected and then position is reversed

US Economic News

1. Non Farm Payroll (NFP):

NFP represents all business employees excluding general government employees, private household employees, and employees of nonprofit organizations, accounting for about 80% of the workers who contribute to GDP. NFP is released every first Friday of the month and can cause big gaps on the forex market.

NFP Release Schedule: First Friday of the month at 8:30am EST

2. FOMC Decision

The FOMC holds eight regularly scheduled meetings per year. If the FOMC wants to increase economic growth, it will reduce the target fed funds rate. Conversely, if it wants to slow down the economy, it will increase the target rate with a rate hike.

3. Trade Balance:

The difference between the monetary value of exports and imports in an economy over a certain period of time. A positive balance of trade is known as a trade surplus and consists of exporting more than your imports; a negative balance of trade is known as a trade deficit or, informally, a trade gap. The Trade Balance also has a sizable impact on GDP.

4. Consumer Price Spending (CPI):

CPI measures the change in prices at the consumer level for a fixed basket of goods and services paid for by a typical consumer. Items included in the CPI reflect all goods and services that people buy for day-to-day living.

5. Retail Sales:

Retail sales is the first real indication of the strength of consumer expenditure .Measures the percentage monthly change in total receipts of retail stores, and includes both durable and non-durable goods.

6. Gross Domestic Product (GDP):

There are four major components of the GDP are: consumption, investment, government purchases, and net exports. GDP measures the market value of goods and services produced in a country.

7. Current Account

The current account is the sum of net income from trade in goods and services, net factor income, and net unilateral transfers from abroad. It's a statement of the country's trade with other nations over a period of time.

8. Durable Goods Orders:

Durable Goods include large ticket items such as capital goods, transportation and defence orders. They are extremely important because they anticipate changes in production and thus, signal turns in the economic cycle.

9. TICS

The Treasury International Capital (TIC) Report measures foreign demand for US debt and assets. Strong demand tends to strengthen the dollar as foreigners convert their money in order to purchase US securities.

Trading Journal

Trade number: 23

Trade Date

13/07/2008 - 09.15 AM (GMT)

Trade Spec

Hangseng

Type of Trade

Long 10 lots

Style of Trade

Short Term

Entry Price

21700

Reason for Entry

Stochastic on 8% to an uptrend

Crossover SMA

Target Level

21750

Reason for Exit

Watch Out for Resistance

Stop Loss

50 pts (according to each traders)

Gain or Loss:

-$500

Sell Date:

13/07/2008 - 09.25 AM (GMT)

Trading Error1:

System gave a buy signal but I didn't pull the trigger

In the extreme market, I should increase the stop loss points, cause after the price broke my stop loss, it bounced

Solution:

When the system signals, I have to enter the trade without any fear

Feel the volatility of the market




Profit / Loss Formula

On Long Position

  1. Mr. X takes long position as 5 lots Hangseng Indice at 21800 and liquidates it at 21850.

Profit / Loss Calculation :

( liquidation price – initial price ) * one poin value * quantities

( 21850 – 21800 ) * Rp 50,000 * 5 = 12,500,000 IDR

On Short Position

  1. Mr. Y takes short position as 3 lots Nikkei Indice at 13250 and liquidates it at 13300.

Profit / Loss Calculation :

( initial price – liquidate price ) * one poin value * quantities

( 13250 – 13300 ) * Rp 50,000 * 2 = - 5,000,000 IDR

Wise Words Part 3

  • I love what i’m doing, and I am going to be a lot more successful
  • The point you use to measure the time lement is not the price high, but an oscillator high
  • I turn my losses to a winner is when I am able to separate my ego needs from making money, when I am able to accept being wrong, it’s not so painful to take a loss, and if I make mistake, SO WHAT !!
  • I always take my losses quickly
  • Don’t increase your position size until you have doubled or tripled your capital
  • The market is always right
  • I learn how to think for my self ; to be able to see that the emperor has no clothes
  • The trend is my friend
  • I have no boundaries, i’m totally flexible, I’m open to everything, and I pursue everything, I have no more compunction about speculating
  • I know when to hold and when to liquidate a losing position
  • I understand well about Charts, Elliot Wave, Gann Analysis, Fibonacci Number, Cycles, Sentiment, Moving Averages, and Various Oscillators, and I know when to use each method
  • I always do my homework (journal)
  • I’m not an arrogant trader
  • I understand my limitations
  • I am my own person
  • I don’t trade until an opportunity presents itself
  • It is important to learn how to lose, but it is more important to learn how to win

Wise Words Part 1

  • The question of who wins and who loses is determined by skill, not luck
  • I decided that I would never again allow myself to lose everything on single trade, no matter how convinced I was of my market view
  • The undisciplined use of leverage is the single most important reason why most traders lose money in future market
  • Cutting down the number of trades you make
  • The best trades are the ones in which you have all three things going for you : fundamentals, technicals, and market tone
  • If you can restrict your activity to only those types of trade, you have to make money, in any market, under any circumstances
  • One of my rules is to get out when volatility and the momentum become absolutely insane
  • Always use STOP
  • Good feel is very important
  • When something happens to disturb my emotional equilibrium and my sense of what the world is like, I close out all position related to that event
  • Being a successful trader takes courage, the courage to try, courage to fail, courage to succeed, and the courage to keep on going when the going gets tough
  • I have the ability to imagine configurations of the world different from today and really believe it can happen
  • I stay rational and disciplined under pressure
  • I always trade on market view
  • I don’t trade simply on technical information
  • I don’t hold position unless I understand why the market should move

Technical Analysis Basics: Dow Theory

Mon, 02 Apr 2007 09:59:14 MDT Written by Greg Standford

Dow Theory is a theory on price movements that provides a basis for technical analysis. The theory was derived from 255 Wall Street Journal editorials written by Charles H. Dow (1851–1902), journalist, first editor of the Wall Street Journal and co-founder of Dow Jones and Company. Many technical analysts consider Dow Theory's definition of a trend and its insistence on studying price action as the main premises of modern technical analysis.

What does the Dow Theory tell us?

1) The market discounts everything

The actual price is the true price. For example, when the Hangseng is quoted at 21550/55 than that is a fair value for that market. Dow assumes that all information about the Hangseng has already been taken into account and is reflected by the current market price.

2) The market is comprised of three trends

Dow defined an uptrend (trend 1) as a time when successive rallies in a security price close at levels higher than those achieved in previous rallies and when lows occur at levels higher than previous lows.

Downtrends (trend 2) occur when markets make lower lows and lower highs. It is this concept of Dow Theory that provides the basis of technical analysis' definition of a price trend. Dow described what he saw as a recurring theme in the market: that price would move sharply in one direction, recede briefly in the opposite direction, and then continue in their original direction (trend 3).

3) Trends have three phases

Major market trends are building up of three phases: an accumulation phase, a public participation phase, and a distribution phase represented by a primary trend, a secondary trend and several minor trends.

I. Primary trend- usually lasts more than one year and may last for several years

These movements are typically referred to as bull and bear markets.

II. Secondary trend - represents a temporary (corrective) change in price within a primary trend that may take weeks or few months.

III. Minor trends - are short-term movements lasting from a few days to several weeks but are of little significance.

Main point to remember about the Dow Theory:

There are three types of trends in the market, a primary trend, a secondary trend and minor trends.

Types of Time Frame

Timeframe

Description

Advantages / Disadvantages

Intraday

Designed for active currency traders, such as the scalper and the daytrader. Timeframe's usually used to trade are 1 and 5 minute for scalpers and 5-15-60 minute for daytraders.

Intraday trading can be very stressful, whether it's scalping or day trading, the trader needs to set aside dedicated an uninterrupted work. You will have lots of intraday trading opportunities and no overnight risk or rollover fees.

Trades are typically held for minutes (scalpers) or couple of hours (daytraders).

Intraday traders will close their positions before market close (5 PM EST)

Scalpers and daytraders are the real deal. This is what they do for a living. Usually, they don't have a second job. Most online currency traders are intraday traders. Both scalpers and daytraders will keep a close eye on key economic data. Make sure you have an Economic Data Release Calendar on your trading desk!

Swing or Position

Designed for the less active currency trader. Timeframe's usually used to trade are 60 min, 240 min, daily and weekly charts. Trades are typically held for days or weeks

If you want to trade currencies but have a job, then become a swing or position trader. Looking to your charts once or twice a day is fair enough to make your trade decisions. Less stressful compared to intraday trading. Rollover fees will affect your account since you are holding overnight.

Long-term

Designed for the passive currency trader. Timeframe's usually used to trade are daily and weekly charts. Trades are typically held for several months or even years.

Your primary income is a full time job and you don't have the time to watch your forex charts every day. Rollover fees will affect your account since you are holding overnight. Holding a carry trade might be a good idea for you. Trading long-term timeframe’s requiring a large stop and the best approach is to be a long-term trend follower.

8 Trading Tips

http://www.aboutcurrency.com/content/view/577/488/

Tue, 27 May 2008 09:24:10 MDT Written by Aboutcurrency

Trade With Sufficient Capital

One of the worst blunders that forex traders can make is attempting to trade without sufficient capital. The trader with limited risk capital not only will be a worried trader, always looking to minimize losses beyond the point of realistic trading, but he will also frequently be taken out of the trading game before he can realize any sense of success trading his preferred system or strategy. Recommended trading capital to open a mini account.

Exercise Discipline

Discipline is probably one of the most overused words in trading education. However, despite the cliché, discipline continues to be the most important behavior one can master to become a profitable currency trader. Discipline is the ability to plan your work and work your plan. It's the ability to give your trade the time to develop without hastily taking yourself out of the market simply because you're uncomfortable with risk. Discipline is also the ability to continue to trade your system or strategy even after you've suffered a series of losses. Do your best to cultivate the degree of discipline required to become a world-class trader.

Be patient and Persistent

Many traders have become sorely disappointed when immediate success was not attained. Be consistent in allowing yourself sufficient time to achieve success. Persistence is one of the most important qualities a trader can possess. Those who quit too soon or haphazardly apply their trading system will not be trading in the market to allow their system to produce the wins they are looking for. In order to develop persistence you must force yourself initially to do everything according to the rules of your trading system or method. Follow through on this commitment, and you will find that after you have taken every trade according to your tested system or method, your consistency will have paid off and you will have profits to show your efforts.

Employ Risk-to-Reward Ratios

A risk-to-reward ratio compares the potential for reward against the potential for loss. A trader must view his trade as a business transaction. We identify risk by counting the pips between the forecasted entry price at which one would exit the market in a losing trade (stop loss). We identify reward by counting the pips between the forecasted entry price and the forecasted price at which one would exit the market in a winning trade. To effectively manage risk, we look to find high probability trades that have a 1 to 1 or greater risk-to-reward ratio. Most professional traders look for positive RTR ratio's between 1-3.

Follow Trading Rules

The proper execution of trades is a very important aspect of becoming a profitable currency trader and one of the most difficult to learn. The problem comes with the initial analysis of the market. When you are studying examples of past trades, it is much easier to recognize direction, entries, and exits that if you were live trading. Recognizing opportunities in the "now" is much more difficult to do. To develop this important skill, one must pay very close attention to specific price patterns and the chart positions of technical indicators. Following trading rules and a trading system is no small matter. It requires the trader to obey rule after rule, even when their initial response to markets is not to trade, end a trade or get into a trade, based on emotion? Trading should only occur when the right setups are present and when confidence is high.

Accept Losses

Since no trading system or method is 100% accurate, losses will happen sooner or later. Develop the ability to admit to your losses. Sometimes traders will remove their stops and let their losses run in the hope the trade will come back. They do this because they are unwilling to admit that their forecast of market direction or their timing of entry into the forex was incorrect. Losses can occur primarily for two reasons. The first reason is when the trader fails to follow established tested rules and guidelines of a trading system or proven method. The second reason is when the trading system or method fails to encompass unexpected changes in the market conditions. In either case, by anticipating the reasons for most of the losses you're going to take, you can put precautions into place beforehand to help reduce losses in the future.

Always Use Stops

Stops are orders in the market placed a distance from your entry price, in the event market prices turn and move opposite from the anticipated direction. The idea behind a stop is to prevent a loss from "running" too far and thereby consuming excessive capital in one single trade. Too often traders are so convinced of where they believe market prices are headed, they lose their sense of reality and begin to trade on hope. They choose not to trade with a stop, or remove their original stop, simply hoping that market direction will eventually turn (again) their way and their loss will turn into a win. However, by the time they finally realize that such will not be the case, and that their hope was an illusion, they have risked far more that they wanted to at the outset of their trade, and the result is a devastating, excessive loss, eventually wiping out their entire trading account.

Keep a Trading Log

Keeping a log of trades is like taking a snapshot in time. You'll find that after making your first analysis, market conditions develop so rapidly that it can be difficult to remember exactly what you saw in the beginning that caused you to enter the market. By recording just a few notes about each trade you make and the technical picture you see, you will sharpen your skills in recognizing strong trade setups.

Economic Indicators Explained

Tue, 26 Sep 2006 11:50:53 MDT Written by Aboutcurrency

Balance of Payments:

The balance of payments is separated into two main accounts: the current account and the capital account. It's a complete summary of a nation’s economic transactions and the rest of the world including merchandise, services, financial assets and tourism.

Beige Book Fed Survey:

The Beige Book, is published eight times a year by the Federal Reserve Bank. It highlights the activity information by District and sector. The survey normally covers a period of about 4-weeks in duration.

Business Inventories and Sales:

Inventories are an important component of the GDP report. Business inventories and sales figures consist of data from other reports such as durable goods orders, factory orders, retail sales, and sales data.

Construction Spending:

Spending Measures the value of construction during the course of a particular month.

Consumer Price Spending (CPI):

CPI measures the change in prices at the consumer level for a fixed basket of goods and services paid for by a typical consumer. Items included in the CPI reflect all goods and services that people buy for day-to-day living.

Current Account:

The current account is the sum of net income from trade in goods and services, net factor income, and net unilateral transfers from abroad. It's a statement of the country's trade with other nations over a period of time.

Durable Goods Orders:

Durable Goods include large ticket items such as capital goods, transportation and defense orders. They are extremely important because they anticipate changes in production and thus, signal turns in the economic cycle.

Employment Report:

In the US, the employment report is regarded as the most important among all economic indicators. The Employment Report contains 3 components: Payroll Employment: Measures the change in number of workers in a given month.

Unemployment Rate:

The percentage of the civilian labor force actively looking for employment but unable to find jobs.

Average Hourly Earnings Growth: The growth rate between one month’s average hourly rate and another.

Factory Orders:

The factory orders report contains data on orders and shipments of non durable goods, manufacturing inventories, and the inventory/sales ratio.

FOMC Decision:

The FOMC holds eight regularly scheduled meetings per year. If the FOMC wants to increase economic growth, it will reduce the target fed funds rate. Conversely, if it wants to slow down the economy, it will increase the target rate with a rate hike.

Gross Domestic Product (GDP):

There are four major components of the GDP are: consumption, investment, government purchases, and net exports. GDP measures the market value of goods and services produced in a country.

Housing Starts/Building Permits Starts:

Are divided into single-family and multi-family categories. In both cases, a housing unit is considered “started” when excavation actually begins.

IFO:

Germany’s leading survey of business conditions. The index surveys over 7,000 enterprises on their assessment of the current business situation and their resulting plans for the short-term.

Industrial Production and Capacity Utilization:

Industrial production measures the monthly percentage change in volume of output of the nation’s factories, mines, and utilities. Capacity utilization measures the extent to which the capital stock is employed in production.

National Association of Purchasing Managers (NAPM):

This is leading survey on US manufacturing activity, arranged by the National Association of Purchasing Management (NAPM).

New Home Sales:

Monthly data new home sales data contains information on home prices, and number of houses for sale.

Non Farm Payroll (NFP):

NFP represents all business employees excluding general government employees, private household employees, and employees of nonprofit organizations, accounting for about 80% of the workers who contribute to GDP. NFP is released every first Friday of the month and can cause big gaps on the forex market.

Personal Income:

Personal Spending, also known as PCE, represents the change in the market value of all goods and services purchased by individuals. It is the GDP's largest component.

Producer Price Index (PPI):

PPI measures the monthly change in wholesale prices and is broken down by commodity, industry and stage of production.

Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI):

PMI is widely used by industrialized economies to assess business confidence. Germany, Japan and the UK use PMI surveys for both manufacturing and services industries.

Retail Sales:

Retail sales are the first real indication of the strength of consumer expenditure.

Measures the percentage monthly change in total receipts of retail stores, and includes both durable and non-durable goods.

TICS:

The Treasury International Capital (TIC) Report measures foreign demand for US debt and assets. Strong demand tends to strengthen the dollar as foreigners convert their money in order to purchase US securities.

Tankan Survey:

Japan’s chief business survey, compiled quarterly by the Bank of Japan. The survey consists of two major parts; the "judgment survey," asking businesses about their situation in the previous, current and following quarters on macro-economic variables, business conditions, inventory levels, capacity utilization levels and employment level. The other main part is related to "current management issues" confronting companies.

Trade Balance:

The difference between the monetary value of exports and imports in an economy over a certain period of time. A positive balance of trade is known as a trade surplus and consists of exporting more than your imports; a negative balance of trade is known as a trade deficit or, informally, a trade gap. The Trade Balance also has a sizable impact on GDP.

Type of Charts




As mentioned before, charts are primary tools to analyze the indice market in real-time. There are three main types of charts :

1) Candlestick chart

There are 4 components needed to construct a candlestick, the Open, Close, High and Low price for a given period. Looking to the below examples, the high is marked by the top of the upper shadow; the low is marked by the bottom of the lower shadow representing the high/low price extremes for the period.

The Body of the candlestick is called the real body, and represents the range between the open and closing prices. If the close price is lower than the open price, the body will be black, if the close price is higher than the open price, the body will be filled-in. Most commonly used among traders are candlestick charts because they are much more visually appealing than the other charts.

The white candlestick is called BULLISH (Close price > Open price indicates Buying Pressure)

the black candlestick is called BEARISH (Close price

2) Bar chart

The bar chart is made up of four parts components: open, high, low, and close price for a given period.

This type of chart is not very popular in trading.

3) Line chart

A line chart uses only the closing prices to form a line and present much less useful information than a candlestick or bar chart. Therefore, they are not used when trading.